chp1: green movement on the back foot

1 files changed, 12 insertions, 11 deletions

diff --git a/chapter1.md b/chapter1.md
index 9a8aab8..b27667b 100644
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+++ b/chapter1.md
@@ -8,16 +8,18 @@ reserves, in the last thirty years, most of the key social-scale demands of the
 green movement have not been met, and even some of those earlier successes have
 been partially rolled back.
 
-- Tropical deforestation is accelerating
-- Plastic pollution is increasing at an accelerating rate
-- Public infrastructure is more, not less, car-dependent
-- Overfishing is intensifying
-- Green New Deal is nowhere to be seen
-- Water pollution has gone backwards (in the UK at least)
-- Energy transition shows few signs of starting (though consider obvious
-  objections: falling coal consumption in China, increasing renewable energy
-  production, car electrification)
-- Greenhouse gas emissions are increasing at an accelerating rate
+Human beings have burned more coal since 1987 than they did from 1800 until
+1987, and more oil and gas since the Kyoto Protocol was signed in 1993 than
+between 1800 and that time [@owid-fossil-fuels; @energy-inst-2025; @smil-2017].
+Once upon a time, environmental campaigners declared that 400 parts of carbon
+dioxide per million in the atmosphere ought to be an uncrossable red line: last
+year, the figure ticked steadily up past 428 [@noaa-co2]. Without changes to
+government policies, plastic pollution is set to triple between 2020 and 2040
+[@breaking-plastic-wave]. Since 1974, the proportion of the world's fish stocks
+deemed by the UN Food and Agriculture Organisation to be within sustainable
+levels has fallen from 90% to 62% [@unfao-fish-stocks]. The Living Planet Index,
+the WWF's measure of wildlife populations, has declined by almost three quarters
+since 1970 [@living-planet].
 
 All these failures beg the question: why aren't the green movement's strategies
 working? \[EXAMPLE OF GREEN LEADER ASKING THIS QUESTION\] In particular, I want
@@ -476,7 +478,6 @@ catastrophic language is counter-productive in this context.
 ## TODO
 
 - Find quotes and page numbers in @{back-to-nature} and @{heat}
-- Explore and evidence: the green movement is on the back foot
 - Find examples of 'listen to the scientists' and 'science denial' discourses
 - Find an example: green rhetor doing some soul-searching
 - Explore: magical green proposals