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diff --git a/bibliography.bib b/bibliography.bib index f35b007..a4e6521 100644 --- a/bibliography.bib +++ b/bibliography.bib @@ -5,3 +5,11 @@ date={2017}, address={London}, } + +@book{greenhouse-effect, + author={{Stewart Boyle} and {John Ardill}}, + title={{The Greenhouse Effect}}, + publisher={{New English Library}}, + date={1989}, + address={Sevenoaks}, +} diff --git a/reading-log.md b/reading-log.md index fc11e79..aafed85 100644 --- a/reading-log.md +++ b/reading-log.md @@ -6,6 +6,74 @@ author: Joe Carstairs ## 2026-04-13 +### @{greenhouse-effect} + +Key themes: + +- Warning +- Catastrophe now and in near future +- Government action +- International co-operation +- Hidden threat +- Urgency, crisis +- Scientific knowledge critically important + +The authors emphasised that catastrophic effects of atmospheric pollution are +happening now and will get worse. The drought of 1988 in Africa and the USA, +threats of food shortage, and the ozone hole features prominently, but so do +floods, sea level rise, et alia. + +Chp 1: increasing danger. The cause is all around us: combustion. (Hidden +threat?) + +They emphasise action from governments and businesses. They briefly diverge to +claim that their book is addressed to individuals (Chp 8), asserting that the +root cause of the greenhouse effect is individual behaviour. But then it +subjects individual behaviour to bigger forces: ignorance (media environment), +poverty, third-world debt, corporate greed. It immediately turns to 'stories of +hope' entirely focused on action by NGOs, development banks, and governments. +However, it does also feature consumer advice, esp. Chp 7. + +I noted an epigram by TH Huxley at the beginning of TH Huxley. The scientists to +the rescue of society? + +Chp 5: Everest had three approaches. Budyko infamous for the wait-and-see +approach, accused of 'swearing in church', implies scientific research, not +enough happening. Adaptation necessary; climate change used as a bad excuse for +inaction by leaders in the Sahel. Moderation of the greenhouse effect also +necessary, implies not reducing consumption or limiting economic growth but +energy efficiency and renewables. Tim Wirth gave a speech to the US Senate +condensing Earth's history into 100 years: we must act in the next four seconds. + +'Experiment' language used frequently. WMO 1985. Thatcher 27 Sep 1988 at annual dinner of Royal Society, 'Mrs Greenmantle,' motivated by public opinion, Hinkley Point, international politics? 'The massive experiment is going awry.' + +There was a story in Chp 4 that international politics is waking up to the +threat. Thatcher, Bush 'White House effect', Gorbachov saying traditional +industrialisation means environmental catastrophe. In Chp 8, optimistic about +international co-operation, climate change as a common enemy around which the +divisions of the world must and therefore will crumble, ideological/economic +systems likely to converge, 'universal crusade to save the planet.' + +Also in Chp 4: 'environmental security' idea, protecting environment needed for national security, climate change already causing millions of climate refugees. + +Book written as a warning. Chp 4: 'We must begin to take action to reduce global +warming. And we must learn that global warming is in reality a global warning to +heed the thresholds of ecological tolerance. The massive experiment is going +wrong.' + +Chp 2 an interesting history of climate science and action. 1957, Scripps, Roger +Revelle. 'Great geophysical experiment.' Mauna Loa vs Antarctic cores showed CO2 +had increased since 1850. Early 1970s, computer models showing increasing CO2 +and temperatures. No interest in first WCC 1979 Geneva, Kenneth Hare biting his +nails, but it created WCP with a remit to 'warn governments.' It produced dire +warnings. Needed alarmism to provoke interest? Prophetic function? Major warming +and weather events (esp droughts) helped to generate attention. + +Chp 3. Climate change in the past makes the world look weird: extinctions of +major animals, Europe with no trees, hippos in the Sahara 6000ya. 21st century +may be more extreme, we can't know how much. Strong emphasis on 'we don't know +enough and need more research.' + ### @{lost-words} I noticed: |
